IPO

Saturday, March 20, 2021

Volcano Berhad

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Open to apply: 16/03/2021
Close to apply: 24/03/2021
Listing date: 06/04/2021

Share Capital
Market Cap: RM57.75mil
Total Shares: 165mil shares, Esos 49.5mil (Public apply: 8.25mil, Company Insider/Miti/Private Placement/other: 51.75mil)

Industry
Volcano: 28.82%
Nameplate Competitor (GP margin)
Chiyoda Integrco.(M) Sdn Bhd: 28.52%
Flexi Components Sdn Bhd: 39.91%
Sanwa Screen (M) Sdn Bhd: 42.43%
Plastic injection moulded Competitor (GP Margin)
Saha-Union: 13.5%
Srithai Superware: 8.64%
SNC former: 10.39%

Business
Manufacturing of nameplates, Plastic injection moulded.
M'sia: 4.17%
S'pore: 43.98%
Thailand: 44.11%
others: 7.74%

Fundamental

1.Market: Ace Market
2.Price: RM0.35 (EPS:RM0.205)
3.P/E: PE17 (based on EPS 0.205, we not accept IPO prospecture using EPS 0.0232 to cal PE)
4.ROE(Pro Forma III): 3.78%
5.ROE: 4.19%(2020), 11.18%(2019), 12.38%(2018)
6.Cash & fixed deposit after IPO: RM0.12 per shares
7.NA after IPO: RM0.408
8.Total debt to current asset after IPO: 0.1567 (Debt: 7.032mil, Non-Current Asset: 29.544mil, Current asset: 44.86mil)
9.Dividend policy: PAT 30% dividend policy.

Past Financial Performance (Revenue, Earning Per shares)
2020: RM52.527 mil (EPS:0.0205)
2019: RM55.892 mil (EPS:0.0290)
2018: RM58.649 mil (EPS:0.0412)

Net Profit Margin
2020: 28.82%
2019: 30.65%
2018: 32.35%

After IPO Sharesholding
Datuk Ch'ng Huat Seng: 16.97% 
Gan Yew Thiam: 12.73%
Dato' Wong Tze Peng: 14.85%
Yeap Guan Seng: 6.36%
Khoo Boo Wui: 12.73%

Directors & Key Management Remuneration for FYE2021 (from gross profit 2020)
Total director remuneration: RM3.104 mil or 20.5%
key management remuneration: RM0.153mil - 0.3mil or 1.01%-1.98%
total (max): RM3.404mil or 22.48%  

Use of fund
Purchase of machineries & equipment: 63.43%
Listing Expenses: 36.57%

Good thing is:
1. Purchase of 6 unit laser cutting machines will increase 33.33% nameplate production. 
2. Purchase 5 unit of platic injection moulded will increase 15.56% capacity of production. 
2. Have 30% PAT dividend policy. 
3. Net profit is above 28% for past 3 years. 

The bad things:
1. PE17 is a bit expensive. 
2. For past 3 years, ROE is dropping. 
3. Revenue did not grow for past 3 years. 
4. Director remuneration is too expensive, 20.5% from the gross profit in 2020 pay for director remuneration. 
5. Listing expenses 36.57% from IPO fund is too expensive. 

Conclusions (Blogger is not wrote any recommendation & suggestion. All is personal opinion and reader should take their own risk in investment decision)
With the additional machineries will increase the capacity of the company. However the company still some risk like over past 3 year revenue did not grow. Please refer below chart to view the company Business expension potential & risk rating. 
*Valuation is only personal opinion & view. Perception & forecast will change if any new quarter result release. Reader take their own risk & should do own homework to follow up every quarter result to adjust forecast of fundamental value of the company.

Saturday, March 13, 2021

Flexidynamic Holdings Berhad

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Open to apply: 09/03/2021
Close to apply: 16/03/2021
Listing date: 30/03/2021

Share Capital
Market Cap: RM56.778mil
Total Shares:  283mil shares (Public apply: 14.1 mil, Company Insider/Miti/Private Placement/other: 61.036mil)

Industry (Revenue)
Flexidynamic: RM31.31mil
Polydamic Group Bhd: RM11.78mil
Ripcol Industries S/B: RM17.2mil
Business
Design, engineering, installation, & commissioning of glove chlorination system.
M'sia: 86.28%
Vietnam: 4.38%
Thailand: 8.74%
Indonesia: 0.07%
Sri Lanka 0.53%

Fundamental
1.Market: Ace Market
2.Price: RM0.20 (EPS:RM0.0162)
3.P/E: PE12.35
4.ROE(Pro Forma III): 10.1%
5.ROE: 21.4%(2019), 24.8%(2018), 33%(2017)
6.Cash & fixed deposit after IPO: RM0.059 per shares
7.NA after IPO: RM0.12
8.Total debt to current asset after IPO: 0.708 (Debt: 31.832mil, Non-Current Asset: 21.998mil, Current asset: 44.976mil)
9.Dividend policy: Did not have formal dividend policy.

Past Financial Performance (Revenue, Earning Per shares)
2022: ***Remaining order book to be billed 2022 RM17.48mil
2021: ***order book to be billed Dec 2021 RM62.3mil
2020 (9mths): RM35.007 mil (EPS:0.0095)
2019: RM49.839 mil (EPS:0.0162)
2018: RM48.322 mil (EPS:0.0151)
2017: RM29.902 mil (EPS:0.0155) 

Net Profit Margin
2020 (9mths): 7.62%
2019: 9.22%
2018: 9.14%
2017: 14.79%

After IPO Sharesholding
Tan Kong Leong: 41.53%
Liew Heng Wei: 18.74%
Phitchaya Arsangku: 2.21%

Directors & Key Management Remuneration for FYE2021 (from gross profit 2019)
Total director remuneration: RM1.168mil or 8.37%
key management remuneration: RM0.4mil- 0.5mil or 2.87%-3.58%
total (max): RM1.668mil or 11.95%  

Use of fund
Repayment bank borrowing: 42.40% (purchase of 2 new factories 2019)
Renovation of new factories: 2.80%
Aquisition of machinery and equitment: 10.83%
Working capital: 24.03%
Listing Expenses: 19.94%

Good thing is:
1. Revenue increasing over 3 years. 
2. Debt ratio not too dangerous level. 
3. Two purchased new factories, estimated renovation completed by Aug-Sep 2021, 
4. Major customer Hartalega, contribute to Flexidyamic  revenue 2017-2020 (range 31.78%-40.91%).

The bad things:
1. Director fees & key managemnent remuneration already cost 11.95% from the company gross profit. 
2. Net profit percentage dropping since 2017.
3. No fixed dividend policy. 
4. ROE continue to fall over 3 years. 
5. Industry player for top 2 & top 3 revenue RM17mil & RM11mil, showing this industry is not generate high revenue (possible less demand of the project needed). 

Conclusions (Blogger is not wrote any recommendation & suggestion. All is personal opinion)
2020 is the high demand for glove, however did not see large improvement in net margin. The company secure RM62mil order book to be billed in 2021. We should see revenue able double at 2021 due to one off high demand order book due to the pandemic. After 2021, business revenue should back to normal phase. For business growth vs risk table please refer as below chart. 

*Valuation is only personal opinion & view. Perception & forecast will change if any new quarter result release. Reader take their own risk & should do own homework to follow up every quarter result to adjust forecast of fundamental value of the company.