Thursday, November 14, 2024

CROPMATE BERHAD

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Open to apply: 15/11/2024
Close to apply: 22/11/2024
Price determination date: 22/11/2024
Balloting: 27/11/2024
Listing date: 05/12/2024

Share Capital 
Market cap: RM147.6 mil
Total Shares: 738 mil shares
1st day listing tradable shares: 331.7 mil shares

Industry CARG (2019-2023)  
1. Sales value of domestic manufactured fertilisers : -4.5%
2. Import value of fertilisers: 12.6%
3. Import volume of fertilisers: 12%
4. Export value of fertilisers: 11.5%
5. Export volume of fertilisers: -0.6%
6. Apparent consumption value of fertilisers: -1.5%

Industry competitors comparison (net profit%)
1. Cropmate Group: 6.6%
2. Hextar Fert S/B: 9.4%
3. Twin Arrow Fertilizer S/B: 9.3%
4. Farmcochem S/B: 7.7%
5. Other: losses to 4.3%

Business (FYE 2024)  
Involved in the formulation and blending of conventional and specialty fertilisers as well as trading of straight fertilisers and related products.
Revenue by segment
1. Formulation and blending of conventional and specialty fertilisers: 75.3%
2. Trading of straight and other fertilisers: 24.7%
Revenue by brand
1. Own Brands: 73%
2. Without Brands: 24.6%
3. Third-party brands: 2.4%

Fundamental  
1.Market: Ace Market
2.Price: RM0.20  (Price will follow final institution price)
3.Forecast P/E: 14.7
4.ROE(Pro forma IV):  17.05%
5.ROE: 36.64%(FPE2024), 27.12%(FYE2023),  47.12%(FYE2022), 46.49%(FYE2021)
6.Net asset: 0.11
7.Total debt to current asset: 0.586 (Debt: 43.760mil, Non-Current Asset: 47.656mil, Current asset: 74.635mil)
8.Dividend policy:  PAT 30% dividend policy.
9. Shariah status: Yes

Past Financial Performance (Revenue, Earning Per shares, PAT%)   

2024 (FPE 31May): RM67.311 mil (Eps: 0.0076), PAT: 8.3%
2023 (FPE 31Dec): RM151.547 mil (Eps: 0.014), PAT: 6.6%
2022 (FYE 31Dec): RM188.296 mil (Eps: 0.020), PAT: 7.8%
2021 (FYE 31Dec): RM108.799 mil (Eps: 0.010), PAT: 7.0%
***2024 EPS diluted to 738mil shares should be 0.0076, hence we disagree with prospectus pg.232 EPS.  

Major customer (FPE2024) 
1. Agrivest Trade Sdn Bhd: 9.1%
2. Sinong Group: 5.0%
3. Great Organic Group: 3.6%
4. Golden Agrochem (Kuching) Sdn Bhd: 3.1%
5. Consolidated Fertiliser Corporation Sdn Bhd: 2.7%
***total 23.50%

Major Sharesholders   
1. Lee Chin Yok: 29.1% (direct), 26% (indirect)
2. Lee Cheng Seng: 13% (direct)
3. Lee Cheng Fei: 13% (direct)
4. Lau Sam Siong: 6.5% (direct)
5. Datuk Tan Chew Chin: 3.2% (direct)

Directors & Key Management Remuneration for FYE2024 
(from Revenue & other income 2023)

Total director remuneration: RM1.460 mil
key management remuneration: RM0.8mil – RM1.0mil
total (max): RM2.46 mil or 8.9%

Use of funds   


Conclusions (Blogger is not wrote any recommendation & suggestion. All is personal opinion and reader should take their own risk in investment decision)
Overall is low growth industry, however the timing of IPO quite favor to the company (the open of fresh durian can export to China, and the price of FCPO price).

*Valuation is only personal opinion & view. Perception & forecast will change if any new quarter result release. Reader take their own risk & should do own homework to follow up every quarter result to adjust forecast of fundamental value of the company.


Tuesday, November 12, 2024

CapitalA-LA Case study

In our investment journey, it is impossible to everytime buy now and immediately profit next second. Even if can, but how BIG amount we can confidence to buy in. Some investment we need take few years to see actual BIG profit, and this type of investment confidence that allow us to invest BIG, is FUNDAMENTAL study. Hold for years and one-off harvest BIG profit.

All this 3 years, was have a lot member ask : "Still can keep or not", "why it keep dropping"....actually i also don't how to answer....

In investment journey, only keep study and focus on fundamental will give us confidence to continue hold the shares until we can harvest the actual BIG profit. Congratulation to all members, even market drop you still make good profit.  








Monday, October 28, 2024

SUPREME CONSOLIDATED RESOURCES BERHAD

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Open to apply: 28/10/2024
Close to apply: 15/11/2024
Balloting: 19/11/2024
Listing date: 29/11/2024

Share Capital 
Market cap: RM107.5 mil
Total Shares: 430 mil shares
1st day listing tradable shares: 154.6 mil shares

Industry CARG
(i) 2018-2022
GDP of wholesale and retail trade, food and beverage and accommodation services in Sarawak: 1.9816%
Distribution of food, beverage and discretionary products in Sarawak: 1.9814%
(ii) 2019-2022
Average gross household income by district in Sarawak: 2.7%
Composition of monthly household expenditure in Sarawak: 4.4%
Industry competitors comparison (net profit%)
1. Supreme: 4.6%
2. Spritzer Berhad: 10.1% (not suitable for comparison purpose)
3. SDS Group Berhad: 10.0% (not suitable for comparison purpose)
4. Farm Fresh: 7.8% (not suitable for comparison purpose)
5. Others: -30.2% to 5.0%

Business (FYE 2024)  
Distribution of third-party brands as well as our own brands of Frozen and Chilled Food Products, Ambient F&B Products and Non-F&B Products. 
Revenue by Segment
Frozen and Chilled Food Products: 88.42%
Ambient F&B Products: 11.50%
Non-F&B Products: 0.08%
Revenue by Geo
Malaysia (Sarawak): 97.99%
Malaysia (Sabah): 0.41%
Mynmar: 1.6%

Fundamental 
1.Market: Ace Market
2.Price: RM0.25
3.Forecast P/E: 11.90
4.ROE(Pro forma III): 10.3%
5.ROE: 11.76% (FPE2024), 10.49%(FYE2023), 9.93%(FYE2022), 9.86%(FYE2021)
6.Net asset: nil
7.Total debt to current asset: 0.478 (Debt: 47.347mil, Non-Current Asset:  52.889mil, Current asset: 99.096mil)
8.Dividend policy: Didn’t have formal dividend policy.
9. Shariah status: Shariah

Past Financial Performance (Revenue, Earning Per shares, PAT%)   
2024 (FPE 30Apr, 7mths): RM132.695 mil (Eps: 0.0146), PAT: 4.74%
2023 (FYE 30Sep): RM199.643 mil (Eps: 0.0214), PAT: 4.62%
2022 (FYE 30Sep): RM209.953 mil (Eps: 0.0190), PAT: 3.89%
2021 (FYE 30Sep): RM187.502 mil (Eps: 0.0178), PAT: 4.08%
***Our reviewer refuse to follow Prospectus book using EPS @ 120mil shares (pg 301).
***Above suggested EPS based on 430 mil shares. 

Major customer (2024)   
1. Unaco Group: 7.64%
2. Emart Group: 5.39%
3. Group A: 2.69%
4. MFM Resources Sdn Bhd: 2.6%
5. Supreme Food Supply (Bintulu) Sdn Bhd: 2.35%
***total 20.67%

Major Sharesholders  

1. BNDM: 34.05% (direct)
2. Dato Richard Wee: 0.49% (direct), 34.24% (indirect)
3. Lim Ah Ted: 21.98% (direct)
4. Ting Ing Thai :  4.6% (direct)
5. Tan Chiew Ting: 6.28% (direct)

Directors & Key Management Remuneration for FYE2024  
(from Revenue & other income FYE2023)

Total director remuneration: RM1.561 mil
key management remuneration: RM1.90 mil – RM2.25 mil
total (max): RM3.811 mil or 15.97%


Conclusions (Blogger is not wrote any recommendation & suggestion. All is personal opinion and reader should take their own risk in investment decision)
Overall is middle risk investment with low grow rate business. 

*Valuation is only personal opinion & view. Perception & forecast will change if any new quarter result release. Reader take their own risk & should do own homework to follow up every quarter result to adjust forecast of fundamental value of the company.

Friday, October 25, 2024

METRO HEALTHCARE BERHAD

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Open to apply: 24/10/2024
Close to apply: 04/11/2024
Balloting: 07/11/2024
Listing date: 15/11/2024

Share Capital 
Market cap: RM293.6715 mil
Total Shares: 978.905 mil shares

Industry CARG  
Fertility, obstetrics and gynaecology services industry size in Malaysia (2018-2023): 14.2% 
Industry competitors comparison (net profit%)
1. Metro Group: 14.0%
2. Alpha IVF Group Berhad: 39.8%
3. Sihat Kinabalu Sdn Bhd: 27.5%
4. KL Fertility & Gynaecology Centre Sdn Bhd: 26%
5. IVF Technologies Sdn Bhd: 17.3%
6. Others: 8% to 24%

Business (FPE 2024) 
Obstetrics and gynaecology (O&G) healthcare service provider, specialising in providing fertility and other O&G healthcare services.
Revenue by segment
1. Fertility services: 46.48%
2. Other O&G healthcare services: 52.79%
3. Paediatric services: 0.73%

Fundamental  
1.Market: Ace Market
2.Price: RM0.25
3.Forecast P/E: 34.63
4.ROE(Pro forma III): 9.67%
5.ROE: 19.38 (FPE2024), % 16.72%(FYE2023),  14.23%(FYE2022), 27.49%(FYE2021)
6.Net asset: 0.0747
7.Total debt to current asset: 0.40 (Debt: 21.416mil, Non-Current Asset: 41.149mil, Current asset: 53.365mil)
8.Dividend policy: PAT 20%  dividend policy.
9. Shariah status: Yes

Past Financial Performance (Revenue, Earning Per shares, PAT%)  
2024 (FYE 30Jun, 6mths): RM24.484 mil (Eps: 0.0036), PAT: 14.44%
2023 (FYE 31Dec): RM44.686 mil (Eps: 0.0064),PAT: 13.98%
2022 (FYE 31Dec): RM40.273 mil (Eps: 0.0051),PAT: 12.45%
2021 (FYE 31Dec): RM42.257 mil (Eps: 0.0096),PAT: 22.33%

Major customer (2024) 
Business nature is didn’t have single large customer. 

Major Sharesholders    
1. Dr Tay Swi Peng @ Tee Swi Peng: 43.30% (direct), 5.05% (indirect)
2. Dr Kong Lan Moon: 19.49% (direct)
3. Country Range Sdn Bhd: 5.05% (direct)

Directors & Key Management Remuneration for FPE2024  
(from Revenue & other income 2023)

Total director remuneration: RM1.123 mil
key management remuneration: RM0.25 mil – RM0.35 mil
total (max): RM1.473 mil or 8.1%

Use of Funds


Conclusions (Blogger is not wrote any recommendation & suggestion. All is personal opinion and reader should take their own risk in investment decision)

Overall is middle risk & low grow investment.  

*Valuation is only personal opinion & view. Perception & forecast will change if any new quarter result release. Reader take their own risk & should do own homework to follow up every quarter result to adjust forecast of fundamental value of the company.

Tuesday, October 22, 2024

LIFE WATER BERHAD

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***Disclaimer***Blogger is not wrote any recommendation & suggestion. All is personal opinion and reader should take their own risk in investment decision.
Open to apply: 22/10/2024
Close to apply: 30/10/2024
Balloting: 04/11/2024
Listing date: 13/11/2024

Share Capital    
Market cap: RM mil
Total Shares:  473.1795 mil shares
1st day listing tradable shares: 125.953 mil shares 

Industry CARG (2019-2023)  
Sales volume of manufactured soft drinks in Malaysia : 0.9%
Sales volume of manufactured bottled water in Malaysia: 2.3%
Import of beverages in Sabah: 7.4%
Export of beverages in Sabah:  6.9%
Industry competitors comparison (net profit%)
1. Life water group: 16.9%
2. F&N Beverages Manufacturing S/B: 5.0%
3. Spritzer: 12.53% (PE13.61)
4. R O Water S/B: 18%
5. Others: losses to 7.0%

Business (FYE 2024)  

Manufacturer of beverages namely drinking water and carbonated drinks. 
Revenue by segment
Drinking water: 83.3%
Carbonated drinks: 16.49%
Other product: 0.21%
Revenue by Geo
Sabah: 98.55%
Other markets: 1.45%

Fundamental 
1.Market: Main Market
2.Price: RM0.65
3.Forecast P/E: 10.94
4.ROE(Pro forma): 15.82%
5.ROE: 23% (FYE2024) , 21.96%(FYE2023), 21.22%(FYE2022), 29.62%(FYE2021)
6.Net asset: 0.38
7.Total debt to current asset: 0.95 (Debt: 121.065mil, Non-Current Asset: 171.854mil, Current asset: 126.997mil)
8.Dividend policy:  Min 20% PAT dividend policy.
9. Shariah status: Yes

Past Financial Performance (Revenue, Earning Per shares, PAT%)  
2024 (FYE 30 Jun): RM166.532 mil (Eps: 0.0594), PAT: 16.89%
2023 (FPE 30 Jun): RM150.962 mil (Eps: 0.0436), PAT: 13.66%
2022 (FYE 30 Jun): RM121.400 mil (Eps: 0.0333), PAT: 12.96%
2021 (FYE 30 Jun): RM103.525 mil (Eps: 0.0373), PAT: 17.06%

Major customer (FYE2024)  
1. Bataras Group: 4.99%
2. Eco Water: 2.82%
3. Mu Group: 2.26%
4. Sabanah Group: 1.77%
5. Servay Group: 1.65%
***total 13.49%

Major Sharesholders    
1. Scarecrow Holding: 36.68% (direct)
2. Liew Hen Kong: 36.68% (indirect)
3. Chin Lee Ling: 36.68% (indirect)
4. Tan Hwng Kuen: 18.35% (direct)
5. Lim Young Piau: 18.35% (direct) 

Directors & Key Management Remuneration for FYE2025  
(from Revenue & other income 2024)

Total director remuneration: RM7.630 mil
key management remuneration: RM0.90 mil – RM1.050 mil
total (max): RM8.68 mil or 10.8%

Use of funds 
Conclusions (Blogger is not wrote any recommendation & suggestion. All is personal opinion and reader should take their own risk in investment decision)
Overall, is a low risk business model, and low-to-mid level of grow investment. 

*Valuation is only personal opinion & view. Perception & forecast will change if any new quarter result release. Reader take their own risk & should do own homework to follow up every quarter .result to adjust forecast of fundamental value of the company.

Monday, October 21, 2024

MEGA FORTRIS BERHAD

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***Disclaimer***Blogger is not wrote any recommendation & suggestion. All is personal opinion and reader should take their own risk in investment decision.

Open to apply: 21/10/2024
Close to apply: 28/10/2024
Balloting: 30/10/2024
Listing date: 11/11/2024

Share Capital   
Market cap: RM566.16 mil
Total Shares:  844.97248 mil shares

Industry CARG     
Global merchandise exports and imports (2019-23): 5.8%
Global container port throughput (2018-22) : 2.2% 
Industry competitors comparison (net profit%)
1. Mega Fortris Group: 13.0%
2. Acme Seals (Malaysia) S/B: 2.9%
3. Envotech Network S/B: 32.3%
4. Wesglow Industries S/B: 13.8%
5. Unisto Identification Systems S/B: 0.3%

Business (FYE 2024)
Design and manufacturing of security seals, and trading of related products and services. 
Revenue by Distribution
1. Transportation and logistics: 16.03%
2. Petrochemicals and manufacturing: 16.03%
3. F&B and agriculture: 16.27%
4.Retail: 7.55%
5. Leisure, hospitality and gaming: 9.29%
6. Government: 2.91%
7. Others: 13.24%
8. Resellers: 25.85% 
Revenue by segment
a. Design and manufacturing
    (i) Plastic seals: 39.28%
    (ii) Container seals: 13.34%
    (iii) Cable seals: 18.04%
    (iv) Security bags: 2.50%
b. Trading and related services
    (i) Load securement products  : 15.8%
    (ii) Other related products and services: 11.04%
Revenue by Geo
1. Asia Pacific: 37.84%
2. Americas: 26.99%
3. Europe: 29.74%
4. Middle East: 5.43%

Fundamental    
1.Market: Main Market
2.Forecast Price: RM0.67
3.Forecast P/E: 29.13 (PE range is possible overvalued zone)
4.ROE(Pro forma II): 9.16%
5.ROE: 15.57% (FYE2024), 13.16%(FYE2023),  7.34%(FYE2022), 12.68%(FYE2021)
6.Net asset: 0.25
7.Total debt to current asset: 0.53 (Debt: 124.664mil, Non-Current Asset: 103.944mil, Current asset: 234.207mil)
8.Dividend policy: up to 30% PAT dividend policy.
9. Shariah status: -

Past Financial Performance (Revenue, Earning Per shares, PAT%)   
2024 (FYE 30 Jun): RM166.712 mil (Eps: 0.0225), PAT: 12.96%
2023 (FYE 30 Jun): RM161.303 mil (Eps: 0.0148), PAT: 9.86%
2022 (FYE 30 Jun): RM155.211 mil (Eps: 0.0052), PAT: 4.49%
2021 (FYE 30 Jun): RM135.098 mil (Eps: 0.0071),PAT: 3.37%

Major customer (FYE 2024)     
1. Interseal S.A. de C.V.: 4.42%
2. MFIB: 3.23%
3. Mega Fortris Philippines Inc: 2.85%
4. United States Postal Service: 2.54%
5. Flink S.A.C : 2.14%
***total 15.18%

Major Sharesholders   
1. Mega Fortris Global: 65% (direct)
2. Dato’ Nick Ng (Dato’ Ng Meng Kee): 65% (indirect)
3. Datuk Adrian Ng (Datuk Ng Meng Poh): 65% (indirect)
4. Mega Fortis Capital: 65% (indirect)
5. Ng Brothers Estate: 65% (indirect)

Directors & Key Management Remuneration for FYE2025   
(from Revenue & other income 2024)

Total director remuneration: RM0.493 mil
key management remuneration: RM1.50 mil – RM1.65 mil
total (max): RM1.993 mil or 2.63%

Use of Funds



Conclusions (Blogger is not wrote any recommendation & suggestion. All is personal opinion and reader should take their own risk in investment decision)
Avoid this IPO. Overall is high risk & low grow return investment. 

*Valuation is only personal opinion & view. Perception & forecast will change if any new quarter result release. Reader take their own risk & should do own homework to follow up every quarter .result to adjust forecast of fundamental value of the company.

Friday, October 18, 2024

AZAM JAYA BERHAD

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Open to apply: 18/10/2024
Close to apply: 24/10/2024
Balloting: 28/10/2024
Listing date: 11/11/2024
 
Share Capital
Market cap: RM390 mil
Total Shares: 500 mil shares

Industry CARG (2019-2023)
Malaysia: Value of Civil Engineering Works Done CAGR: -5.61%
Sabah: Value of Civil Engineering Works Done CAGR: 9.33%
Industry competitors comparison (net profit%)
1.      Azam Jaya: 9.3%
2.      Gabungan AQRS Berhad: 5.9%
3.      Vestland Berhad: 7.9%
4.      Pesona Metro Holdings Berhad: 2/4%
5.      Others: losses to 0.5%

Business (FPE 2024)
Specialise in the construction of road infrastructure, including roads, highways, bridges, flyovers and tunnels, business mainly in Sabah.
Revenue by Segment
Construction: 100%
 
Fundamental  
1.Market: Main Market
2.Price: RM0.78
3.Forecast P/E: 18.75 (forecast PE, we disagree to follow prospectus book PE15.01)
4.ROE(Pro forma):  13.49%
5.ROE: 16.20%(FPE2024),  29.28%(FYE2023), 41.58%(FYE2022), 62.67%(FYE2021)
6.Net asset: 0.31
7.Total debt to current asset: 0.80 (Debt: 270.013mil, Non-Current Asset: 88.333mil, Current asset: 335.975mil)
8.Dividend policy: 30% PAT dividend policy.
9. Shariah status: Yes
 
Past Financial Performance (Revenue, Earning Per shares, PAT%)  
2024 (FPE 30 Apr): RM148.824 mil (Eps: 0.0156), PAT: 5.26%
2023 (FYE 31Dec): RM280.766 mil (Eps: 0.0520), PAT: 9.25%
2022 (FYE 31Dec): RM296.838 mil (Eps: 0.0634), PAT: 10.68%
2021 (FYE 31Dec): RM231.457 mil (Eps: 0.0683), PAT: 14.77%
 
Order Book
FYE2024- 2028 : RM1.449 bil
 
Major customer (2024)  
1.      e Ministry of Works, Malaysia and JKR Sabah: 100%
***total 100%

Major Sharesholders  
1.      Lokah Fortune: 40.20% (direct)
2.      Tan Sri Joseph: 23.34% (indirect)
3.      Datuk Jonathan: 53.53% (indirect)
4.      Datuk Jessica: 10% (direct), 13.34% (indirect)
5.      Johannes Lo: 10% (direct), 13.34% (indirect)
6.      Lo Vun Yee @ Josephine Lo: 3.33% (direct), 10% (indirect)
7.      Lo Vun Jiun: 3.33% (direct), 10% (indirect)
8.      Jacqueline Lo Kar Jack: 3.33% (direct), 10% (indirect)
9.      Joanna Lo Vun Shii; 3.33% (direct), 10% (indirect)
 
Directors & Key Management Remuneration for FYE2024
(from Revenue & other income 2023)
Total director remuneration: RM13.026 mil
key management remuneration: RM1.15 mil – RM1.40 mil
total (max): RM14.426 mil or 16.79%


Conclusions (Blogger is not wrote any recommendation & suggestion. All is personal opinion and reader should take their own risk in investment decision)

Overall is a high risk business as they over focus on government project/ contract. However if able to continue maintain good relationship & secure more project, the company will have potential to continue growth. 

*Valuation is only personal opinion & view. Perception & forecast will change if any new quarter result release. Reader take their own risk & should do own homework to follow up every quarter result to adjust forecast of fundamental value of the company.