IPO

Friday, April 28, 2023

DXN HOLDINGS BHD

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***Important***Blogger is not wrote any recommendation & suggestion. All is personal
opinion and reader should take their own risk in investment decision.


Open to apply: 28 Mar 2023
Close to apply: 09 May 2023
Balloting: 11 May 2023
Listing date: 19 May 2023

Share Capital
Market cap: RM mil (depend on institutional final price)
Total Shares: 4,985 mil shares

Industry CARG (2016-2026F)
Retail sales via direct selling CARG 2016-2026F: 4.6%
Industry competitors comparison (net profit%)
DXN: PE15.6
Amway (M): PE11.48 (@ 29/04/2023)
USANA: PE17.24 (@ 29/04/2023)
Herbalife: PE4.41 (@ 29/04/2023)

Business (FYE 2022)
Global health-oriented and wellness direct selling company. 
- manufacture in-house and a distribution. 
- 48 countries, 79 sale branches (member & partners), 12 external distribution agencies. 
Revenue by Geo
Malaysia: 7.1%
Other countries: 92.9%

Fundamental
1.Market: Main Market
2.Price: RM0.76 (might have price determination after institutional offer at IPO stage)
3.Forecast P/E:  15.6 @ RM0.0487
4.ROE(Pro Forma IV):  18.2%
5.ROE: 30.24%(FYE2022), 31.9%(FYE2021), 35.92%(FYE2020)
6.Net asset: RM0.21
7.Total debt to current asset: 0.71 (Debt: 635.194mil, Non-Current Asset: 775.080mil, Current asset: 896.159mil)
8.Dividend policy: target 30%-50% PAT dividend policy.
9. Shariah status: Yes

Past Financial Performance (Revenue, Earning Per shares, PATAMI%)
2022 (FPE 31Oct, 9mths): RM1.043 bil (Eps: 0.0361),PATAMI: 17.2%
2022 (FYE 28Feb): RM1.242 bil (Eps: 0.0487),PATAMI: 19.5%
2021 (FYE 28Feb): RM1.050 bil (Eps: 0.0384),PATAMI: 18.2%
2020 (FYE 28Feb): RM1.104 bil (Eps: 0.0485),PATAMI: 21.9%

Operating cashflow vs PBT
2022 (FPE Oct2022): 69.37% 
2022: 71.65%
2021: 87.17%
2020: 88.37%

Major customer (2021)
No major customer. 

Major Sharesholders
1.LSJ Global/Malaysia: 65.2% (direct)
2.Gano Global (Singapore): 13.3% (direct)
3.Datuk Lim Siow Jin (Malaysian): 65.2% (indirect)

Directors & Key Management Remuneration for FYE2024 (from Revenue & other income 2022)
Total director remuneration: RM4.571mil
key management remuneration: RM2.350 mil – RM2.600mil
total (max): RM7.171 mil or 0.71%

Use of funds
1.Repayment of bank borrowings: 65.8%
2.Working capital: 14.4%
3.Estimated listing expenses: 19.8%
Conclusions (Blogger is not wrote any recommendation & suggestion. All is personal opinion and reader should take their own risk in investment decision)
Overall is a suitable for dividend investment counter. Grow rate likely will be limited. The price offer also averagely a bit expensive compare to competitors in same industry. 
If want to invest for dividend (into this counter, the best way might need to wait it drop below IPO to PE range 15 or wait the revenue grow match to PE15. 

*Valuation is only personal opinion & view. Perception & forecast will change if any new quarter result release. Reader take their own risk & should do own homework to follow up every quarter result to adjust forecast of fundamental value of the company.