Friday, August 23, 2019

SDS Group Berhad

IPO Rating ( 2.0 star out of 5.0)
Copyright@http://lchipo.blogspot.com/

Date
Open to apply: 23/08/2019
Close to apply: 23/09/2019
Listing date: 07/10/2019

Share Capital
Market Cap: RM93.339 mil
Total Shares: 405.823 mil shares (IPO 20.291 mil, Company Insider/Miti/Private Placement 84.005 mil)

Business
Manufacturer of bakery product like breads, buns, rolls, and cakes.
Product brand: Top Baker, Dailys, SDS

Fundamental
Market: Ace Market
Price: RM0.23 (eps: RM0.019)
P/E & ROE: PE12.1, ROE13.19%
Cash & fixed deposit after IPO: RM0.0344 per shares
NA after IPO: RM0.15
Total debt to current asset after IPO: 2.22 (Debt: 78.572 mil, Non-Current Asset: 102.818 mil, Current asset: 35.278 mil)
Dividend policy: No formal dividend policy.

Financial Ratio
Trade receivable: 60 days
Trade Payable: 71 days
Inventory turnover: 14 days

Past Financial Proformance (Revenue, EPS)
2019: RM187.129 mil (eps: 0.019)
2018: RM174.201 mil (eps: 0.014)
2017: RM139.333 mil (eps: 0.015)
2016: RM98.982 mil (eps: 0.009)

Net Profit Margin
2019: 4.2%
2018: 3.4%
2017: 4.5%
2016: 4.1%

After IPO Sharesholding
Tan Kim Seng: 24.4%
Tan Kim Chai: 24.4%
Teou Chau Hoyk: 4.6%
Tan Yon Haw: 5.3%
Tan Yong Thye: 5.3%
Tan Yong Ping: 4.6%
Tan Yong Herng: 4.6%
Tan Kee Jin: 0.3%
SDS Tan Properties: 1.1%

Director & Key Managemen Remuneration for FYE2019 (from gross profit 2018)
Tan Kim Seng: RM288k
Tan Kim Chai: RM252k
Tan Yon Haw: RM252k
Tan Kee Jin: RM252k
Lim Pang Kiam: RM55k
Phang Sze Fui: RM43k
Azahar bin Baharudin: RM43k
Dato' Albert Ding: RM43k
Total director & key management remuneration from gross profit: 2.15%

Use of fund
Capital Expenditure: 25%
Repayment Debt: 29.2%
Working Capital: 32.5%
Lisitng Expenses: 13.3%

Competitors (Gross Profit margin)
SDSG: 31.9%
Fuji: 29.2%
Italian Baker: 34%
Roti Sedap: 4%
Adventist: 19.9%
Gardenia: 29.8%

Industry Analysis (Forecast)
2018-2023: 5.5%-6.3% per year

Conclusions
Good thing is:
1. PE12 & ROE13.19%
2. Revenue is continue to growing past 4 years, however we notice the growth rate is slow down.
3. Director fees is still acceptable at 2.15% from gross profit.
4. Is a food industry.

The bad things:
1. Listing in Ace market.
2. Debt is high compare to the current assets. Not a healthy signal.
3. PAT margin is too low.
4. No formal dividend policy.
5. Revenue is not grow for past 4years.
6. Use 29.2% of IPO fund to pay debt.
7. Industry test market size grow 5%-6% per year is almost no grow after factor in inflation.

Conclusions
The pricing is fair. However the futures or potential of growing is unable to forecast.
The food industry is booming around the world, buble tea, fast food, restaurant (e.g. MCD shares price grow 25% since early 2019).
There is too many competitor in the same industry. Not a good bet for investment.

IPO Price: RM0.23
Good time: RM0.30 (PE16)
Bad time: RM0.17 (PE8)

Wednesday, August 21, 2019

MTAG Group Berhad

IPO Rating (1.5 star  out of 5.0)

Copyright@http://lchipo.blogspot.com/

Date
Open to apply: 19/08/2019
Close to apply: 06/09/2019
Listing date: 25/09/2019

Share Capital
Market Cap: RM 361.257 mil
Total Shares: 681.617 mil shares (IPO 136.323 mil, Private Placement 20.074 mil)

Business
Manufacture of Air Filter product, Printing labels & stickers, tapes adhesives, and other product.

Fundamental
Market: Ace Market
Price: RM0.53 (Diluted eps: RM0.035) Amended 0.0467)
P/E & ROE: PE15.14 Amended 11.34 (Propspectus use PE11 on EPS0.048), ROE29.9%
Cash & fixed deposit after IPO: RM0.056 per shares
NA after IPO: RM0.23
Total debt to current asset after IPO: 0.248 (Debt: 29.477 mil, Non-Current Asset: 69.619 mil, Current asset: 118.838 mil)
Dividend policy: Suggest 20% dividend policy.

Financial Ratio
Trade receivable: 96 days
Trade Payable: 53 days
Inventory turnover: 63 days

Past Financial Proformance (Revenue, EPS)
2019: RM136.109 mil (9mth)
2018: RM187.465 mil (eps: 0.070)
2017: RM186.607 mil (eps: 0.033)
2016: RM126.983 mil (eps: 0.023)

Net Profit Margin
2019: 17.42% (9mths)
2018: 25.34%
2017: 12.13%
2016: 12.51%

After IPO Sharesholding
Chaw Kam Shiang: 50.5%
Goh Jui Heng: 0.8%
Lau Cher Liang: 16.7%

Director & Key Managemen Remuneration for FYE2019 (from gross profit 2018)
Lee Ting Kiat: RM31.5k
Chaw Kam Shiang: RM2.7735 mil
Goh Jui Heng: RM0.3764 mil
Lau Cher Liang: RM3.578 mil
Jason Tan Kim Song: RM25.5K
Dyana Sofya: RM25.5k
Total director & key management remuneration from gross profit: RM6.8104 mil (12.07%)

Use of fund
Land acquisition & construction manufacture: 45.7%
Capital expenditure: 18%
Repayment debt: 13.8%
Working capital: 17.2%
Listing expenses: 5.3%

Industry Analysis (Insufficient historical data)
Label Printing & converting industry 2017-2018 growth rate 9%
SDSSF industry 2017-2018: Growth rate 4.5% (factor in inflation, there is almost no growth).

Conclusions
Good thing is:
1. PE15 still not above country PE.
2. Have clear dividend policy.
3. ROE29.9%
4. Average profit margin near to 15%

The bad things:
1. Listed in Ace market.
2. Revenue did not growth past 2 year.
3. Director fees 12% from gross profit is too expensive.
4. Repayment debt 13.8%
5. Unable provide industry research of converting mesh into air filter product. The air filter product contribute more than 50% of company revenue.
6. Too little industry research to do forcase for the other 2 business (label printing & SDSSF).
7. Steel business is no growth if factor in inflation.

Conclusions
Overall is unable to justify the IPO true value. Lack of certain information to do forcase.

IPO Price: RM0.53
Good time: RM0.0.45 (PE13)
Bad time: RM0.28 (PE8)