Friday, January 31, 2020

Innature Berhad

IPO Rating (2.25 out of 5.0 Stars)
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Date
Open to apply: 29/01/2020
Close to apply: 06/02/2020
Listing date: 20/02/2020

Share Capital
Market Cap: RM480 mil
Total Shares: 705.881mil shares (Public Ballting: 16.1315 mil, Company Insider/Miti/Private Placement: 161.142 mil)

Business
The group hold The Body Shop franchises (beauty product) and operate TBS point-of-sale in Malaysia, Vietnam, & Combodia.

Geo
M'sia: 85.3%
Vietnam: 14.7%

Fundamental
Market: Main Market
Price: RM0.68 (9mth eps: RM0.0352)
*if final retail price is lower the RM0.68, difference will refund to applicants.
P/E & ROE: PE13.3 (Prospectus book is) ROE24%
Cash & fixed deposit after IPO: RM0.0132 per shares
NA after IPO: RM0.17
Total debt to current asset after IPO: 1.175 (Debt: 60.027 mil, Non-Current Asset: 129.622 mil, Current asset: 51.074 mil)
*Intangible asset: 52.973 mil
Dividend policy: Suggest 30% dividend policy profit after tax.

Financial Ratio
Trade receivable: 4.65 days
Trade Payable: 63.37 days
Inventory turnover: 191.84 days

Past Financial Proformance (Revenue, EPS)
2019 (9mths): RM138.195 mil (EPS: 0.0352)
2018: RM184.474 mil (EPS: 0.0722)
2017: RM171.919 mil (EPS: 0.0381)
2016: RM159.902 mil (EPS: 0.0424)

Net Profit Margin
2019: 18.0%
2018: 19.6%
2017: 17.8%
2016: 16.9%

After IPO Sharesholding
Dato' Simon (indirect): 71.89%
Datin Mina (indirect): 74.89%
Darly Foong: 3%
Molly Fong: 0.02%
Tengku Zatashah: 0.01%

Directors Remuneration for FYE2019 (from gross profit 2018)
Dato' Simon: RM60k
Datin Mina: RM0.693 mil
Darly Foong: -
Molly Fong: RM0.866 mil
Dato' Maznah: RM90k
Tengku Zatashah: RM80k
Total director remuneration from gross profit: RM1.789 mil or 1.43%

Key Management Remuration  for FYE2019 (from gross profit 2018)
Jesse Siew: 500k-550k
Mae Chan: 400k-450k
Cang Yang: 400k-450k
Meng Leong: 250k-300k
Lily-Hue Nguyen: 800k-850k
Julie Wong: 300k-350k
key management remuneration from gross profit: RM2.650-2.950 mil or 2.13-2.37 %

Use of fund
Capital Expenditure: RM34.50 mil (68.5%)
Working Capital: RM3.80 mil (7.5%)
New Business development: RM5.7 mil (11.3%)
Listing expenses: RM6.37 mil (18.75%)

Industry CAGR%
Msia 2013-2018: 6.2% CARG on CPC (Cosmestics Personal Care)
Msia 2018-2023: 8.0% (forecast)
Vietnam 2013-2018: 12%
Vietnam 2018-2023: 11.6% (forecast)
*2002-2018 income per capital CAGR urban 14.8%, CAGR rural 16.1%
*Increase of female spending power.
*Increase of internet, mobile business & e-commerce.
*Growing of acceptance of natural products.
*Vietnam CPC (cosmetics personal care) CAGR 12% 2013-2018

Conclusions
Good thing is:
1. PE13 & ROE24% is attractive.
2. Every year net profit more than 15%
3. Revenue is increasing.
4. Director remuration & management fee is acceptable.
5. Cosmetics Personal Care market/industry expanding every year.
6. IPO fund is to expand into new business NATURA (also own by The Body Shop and Aesop brands).

The bad things:
1. Total debt is higher then current asset & cash per shares after IPO is low.
2. Net asset per shares RM0.17 & the group have Intangible asset 52.9mil (equal 29.3% of total asset).
3. Liting expenses 18.75% from IPO fund is too high (market average is around 11%-13%).

Conclusions
Is a attractive business. Increase of female spending power in Msia, Vietnam, & Combodia will continue to increase the growth of Comestics Personal Care industry. The business have intention to pay out 30% PAT as dividend, it should be an attractive dividend holding counter. This IPO is now perfer, because having Intangible asset 29.3% (normal acceptable level is less than 15%).

IPO Price: RM0.68
Good time: RM0.75 (PE16)
Bad time: RM0.42 (PE9)

*Valuation only valid until new quarter result release. Reader should do own homework to follow up every quarter result to adjust forecast of fundamental value of the company.

Thursday, January 30, 2020

Comment from blog

Recently this blog received some bad comment from reader (kindly refer to comment under IPO Powerwell page)

Kindly please take note that this blog is to provide long-term view on the IPO counter.
Main responsibilities from this blog is to help reader avoid unnecessary losses.

Even if there is some possibilities of the counter posted can make  some profit, but in case the possibilities of losses is bigger than profit, blog will continue to rise opinion as "avoid".

IPO that rating at this blog at 2 stars & below (As per date 31/01/2020)
1. Pwrwell IPO RM0.25 > now RM0.25 (+/-)
2. Spring IPO 0.25 > now 0.225 (loss)
3. AME IPO 1.30 > now 1.76 (Profit)
4. SDS IPO 0.23 > now 0.215 (loss)
5. Mtag IPO 0.53 > now 0.505 (loss)
6. Tashin IPO 0.58 > now 0.265 (loss)
7. I-Stone IPO 0.16 > now 0.21 (Profit)
8. Meston IPO 0.16 > now 0.115 (loss)
*successful avoid losses rate 75% (6 over 8 counter to avoid)

IPO that rating 2.01 start & above (as per date 31/01/2020)
1. Slvest IPO 0.35 > now 0.775 (profit)
2. KHJ IPO 0.43 > now 0.25 (loss)
3. UMW IPO 0.82 > now 4.08 (profit)
4. HPMT IPO 0.56 > now 0.415 (loss)
5. Greatech IPO 0.61 > now 2.57 (profit)
6. Leonghup IPO 1.10 > now 0.765 (loss)
*Successful profit rate 50% (3 over 6 counter)

**this comparison use 2019 IPO & remember 2019 is a very bad year for market. This blog are still can filter out potential IPO.
**for more comparison can try compare more years like 2018,2017,2016 & 2015.

***This blog is encourage reader to point out their comment. However it will be great if reader comment base on data and facts. 
***Base on above data & facts, we are very happy in 2019 able to help reader avoid so many unnecessary losses. 

Friday, January 3, 2020

Powerwell Holdings Berhad

IPO Rating (1.00 out of 5.0 Stars)

Copyright@http://lchipo.blogspot.com/

Date
Open to apply: 02/01/2020
Close to apply: 10/01/2020
Listing date: 22/01/2020

Share Capital
Market Cap: RM145.138 mil
Total Shares: 580.552mil shares (Public Ball0ting: 23.8 mil, Company Insider/Miti/Private Placement: 121.655mil)

Business
Manufacturing & trading of electricity distribution product.
-LV switchboards, MV switchgears, & related product.

Fundamental
Market: Ace Market
Price: RM0.25 (7mth eps: RM0.0059)
P/E & ROE: PE17.12 (Prospectus book is PE11.96), ROE9.12%
Cash & fixed deposit after IPO: RM0.0298 per shares
NA after IPO: RM0.11
Total debt to current asset after IPO: 0.45 (Debt: 32.834 mil, Non-Current Asset: 24.885 mil, Current asset: 72.383 mil)
Dividend policy: No formal dividend policy.

Financial Ratio
Trade receivable: 168.6 days
Trade Payable: 179.3 days
Inventory turnover: 127.5 days

Past Financial Proformance (Revenue, EPS)
2019 (7mths): RM44.499 mil (EPS: 0.0059)
*order books RM52.21, billed progressively 24mths
2018: RM105.352 mil (EPS: 0.0209)
2017: RM106.393 mil (EPS: 0.0239)
2016: RM92.539 mil (EPS: 0.0146)

Net Profit Margin
2019: 7.7%
2018: 11.5%
2017: 13.0%
2016: 9.1%

After IPO Sharesholding
PW Synergy 51% (Indirect Jason Tham, Catherine Wong)
Jason Tham: 7.18%
Catherine Wong: 7.02%
Ricky Lee: 3.04%

Directors Remuneration for FYE2019 (from gross profit 2018)
Tang Yuen Kin: RM57k
Dr.Tou Teck Yong: RM51k
Selma Enolil Binti Mustapha Khalil: RM51k
Jason Tham: RM0.867 mil
Catherine Wong: RM0.706 mil
Ricky Lee: RM0.664 mil
Total director remuneration from gross profit: RM2.396 mil or 8.31%

Key Management Remuration  for FYE2019 (from gross profit 2018)
Hoh Moon Heng: 300k-500k
Thong Kok Meng: 200k-250k
Ir.Leong Yek Loong: 350k-400k
Soh Wei Wei: 300k-350k
Chai Jsung Kek: 100k-150k
key management remuneration from gross profit: RM1.250mil-1.65mil or 4.34-5.73%

Use of fund
Capital Expenditure: RM10.270 (47%)
Certification expenditure : RM3.865 mil (17.69%)
Working Capital: RM3.615 mil (16.55%)
Listing expenses: RM4.1 mil (18.75%)

Competitors (Market Player PAT)
ABB Malaysia S/B: 3.85%
Tamco Switchgear: 2.8%
Toshiba Transmission & Distribution: losses
SRS Power Enginnering: 10.34%
Sun System Engineering S/B: 3.31%
INDKOM: 21.65%
Swift Energy S/B: 5.35%
Fuji SMBE: 7.56%
MCC Techique: 1.67%
Matrix Power Network: 1.27%
Gathergates Industries (M)S/B: losses

Conclusions
Good thing is:
1. Major sharesholder hold big portion on company stock.
2. Most of the IPO fund use to business expansion.

The bad things:
1.PE17.12 is not attractive.
2.Business natural need long time to collect payment trade receivable 168days.
3.Revenue & net profit margin is dropping over 3 years.
4.Director remuration + key management remuration is 12.65%-14.04% from gross profits, this is too high.
5.Compare with many competitors, most of them unable to make net profit over 10%, this industry is likely not given high margin return.
6.Listing in Ace Market.

Conclusions
Avoid this IPO.

IPO Price: RM0.25
Good time: RM0.16 (PE11)
Bad time: RM0.115 (PE8)